BTHE BARATELLI INSTITUTE · Mentoring at Scale
Case Studies  /  Business of Sports  /  RAYS · TAMPA BALLPARK FINANCE
CASE STUDY · BALLPARK FINANCE · MECHANICS WALK

Tampa Bay Rays

A $2.361B ballpark, a 37% public share, and a funding stack most coverage reports as one number. Here it is line by line.

On August 21, 2026 the Rays, Hillsborough County and the City of Tampa released the definitive documents for a new ballpark on the Hillsborough College Dale Mabry campus in Drew Park. The headline is a reduced public contribution. The more useful story is how it was reduced — part of it is less public money, and part of it is the same public money in a different legal form. This page walks the stack source by source and explains what each revenue line actually is. It takes no position on whether the deal should be approved.

$2.361BBallpark budget (Aug 21, 2026 documents)
$1.37BRays commitment, plus all overruns
$876MTotal public (37.1% of budget)
35 yrsInitial term & non-relocation
March 2029Targeted opening
Status · Proposed, not approved

Everything on this page describes documents released on August 21, 2026 and reflects the record as of August 22, 2026. The Tampa City Council vote was scheduled for August 27, 2026 and the Hillsborough County Commission vote for August 28, 2026. Both bodies must approve before bonding and funding validation can begin, and terms could still be adjusted before or during those votes. Figures below are the proposed terms, not enacted ones.

← Back to the Business of Sports case library
THE SETUP

How a St. Petersburg team ended up with a Tampa deal

The Rays have been trying to replace Tropicana Field for close to twenty years. A waterfront ballpark at Al Lang Stadium was proposed in 2007 and abandoned. An Ybor City site was proposed in 2018 and abandoned for lack of a funding plan. In September 2023 the team reached agreement with St. Petersburg on a $1.3B ballpark inside a $6.5B redevelopment of the 86-acre Tropicana Field site — the Historic Gas Plant District, named for the predominantly Black neighborhood displaced by the Trop and an interstate spur.

That deal was approved. St. Petersburg City Council committed $287.5M in July 2024 and Pinellas County committed $312.5M in bonds, for roughly $600M of public money against a $1.3B ballpark — a public share near 46%. The Rays were on the hook for $700M plus overruns.

Then Hurricane Milton took the roof off Tropicana Field in October 2024. Costs escalated, delivery slipped from 2028 to 2029, and in March 2025 principal owner Stu Sternberg withdrew. St. Petersburg formally terminated the redevelopment agreement in July 2025. On September 30, 2025 the franchise sold to a group led by Patrick Zalupski, founder of Jacksonville-based Dream Finders Homes, at a reported ~$1.7B, unanimously approved by MLB owners.

The comparison worth holding onto. The deal the Rays walked away from carried a higher public share (about 46%) and a much smaller private commitment ($700M) than the one now on the table (about 37% public, $1.37B private). Whatever else changed between 2024 and 2026, the private side of the ledger roughly doubled.

Where the $2.361 billion comes from

Most coverage reports this deal as two numbers — team money and public money. The public side is actually six distinct revenue sources with six different legal characters, six different repayment profiles, and six different answers to the question “whose money is this?” Here is the top-line split, and then the county detail.

SourceAmountShare of budgetWhat it is
Tampa Bay Rays — direct commitment$1,370M58.0%Plus all cost overruns and design fees. Up $100M from the May 2026 MOU.
Hillsborough County$796M33.7%Four components, itemized below. Unchanged in total from the MOU.
City of Tampa$80M3.4%Restructured as a four-year advance the city recoups from future property-tax growth inside a new Community Development District. Down from $180M.
Identified sources$2,246M95.1%Rays plus total public.
Reported ballpark budget$2,361M100.0%The figure carried in the definitive documents.
Unreconciled from public reporting$115M4.9%See the reconciliation note below.

Percentages computed against the $2.361B budget carried in the definitive documents released August 21, 2026. The Rays figure excludes cost overruns, which are the team's responsibility without a stated cap.

The county's $796 million, itemized

County sourceAmountPlain-English description
Community Investment Tax (CIT)$360MCounty share of a voter-approved half-cent sales tax earmarked for public infrastructure and stadium improvements. Already levied; not a new tax.
Tourist Development Tax (TDT)$303MBed-tax revenue on hotel and short-term stays. Structured as $228M of initial bonds, a $40M sixth-cent reserve payment, and a $35M second tranche.
Other county funds$103MGeneral county sources identified in the funding schedule.
Federal disaster recovery (CDBG-DR)$30MCommunity Development Block Grant — Disaster Recovery dollars, federal money routed through the county rather than raised locally.
Hillsborough County total$796MComponents sum exactly to the reported county figure.

County component figures as reported from the definitive documents, August 21–22, 2026. The four components sum exactly to $796M.

THE RECONCILIATION

The arithmetic does not close, and that is worth saying out loud

Adding the identified sources produces a number smaller than the stated budget. This is not an accusation of anything — large project budgets routinely carry lines that live outside the headline public-private split — but a reader building a model needs to know the gap exists rather than discovering it later.

Sources versus budget

Rays direct commitment          $1,370M
Hillsborough County                $796M
City of Tampa                          $80M
——————————————————————————
Identified sources                 $2,246M
Reported budget                   $2,361M
Unreconciled                           $115M

Two candidate reconciling items appear in the public record, and neither is confirmed as sitting inside the ballpark budget line. The first is the $100M of taxable bonds, notes or other indebtedness the Rays agreed to place privately to finance public components of the ballpark, with debt service paid from tax increment directed to the Community Development District. If that $100M is additive to the team's $1.37B rather than included in it, the gap narrows to $15M. The second is the $50M appropriated in the state budget signed in June 2026 for infrastructure improvements at the Hillsborough College Dale Mabry campus — campus preparation that may or may not be inside the ballpark budget.

The 134-page Stadium Development and Funding Agreement is where this resolves. Until someone reads the funding schedule inside it, treat the $115M as unallocated in public reporting rather than assuming it away.

What each revenue source actually is

The phrase “no new taxes” is accurate and also incomplete. No new levy is created. Every dollar below comes from a tax that already exists, from a federal grant, or from future growth in a tax base that does not yet exist. Those are three different things.

Community Investment Tax — $360M

The CIT is a voter-approved half-cent sales tax in Hillsborough County, earmarked for public infrastructure and, explicitly, stadium improvements. It is already being collected. Directing $360M of it to a ballpark does not raise anyone's tax bill; it decides what the existing collections buy. The opportunity cost is whatever else that $360M would otherwise have funded.

Tourist Development Tax — $303M

The TDT is a bed tax on hotel and short-term stays. It is the most politically durable stadium revenue source in Florida because its incidence falls largely on visitors rather than residents, and Florida statute restricts what it can be spent on in ways that generally include sports facilities. The $303M is structured in three pieces: $228M of initial bonds, a $40M sixth-cent reserve payment, and a $35M second tranche. Bonding against TDT means the county is pledging a stream of future bed-tax collections; if tourism softens, debt service still has to be paid.

Other county funds — $103M

General county sources identified in the funding schedule. This is the least specified line in public reporting.

Federal disaster recovery (CDBG-DR) — $30M

Community Development Block Grant — Disaster Recovery money. Federal dollars routed through the county rather than raised locally, made available in the wake of the 2024 storm season. It is public money, but it is not Hillsborough taxpayers' money in the way the CIT is.

The City of Tampa's $80M — an advance, not an appropriation

This is the piece that changed most and the piece most likely to be misread. In the May 2026 MOU the city was to put in $180M drawn from its share of CIT revenue — a term most of the council opposed. In the definitive documents the city's number is $80M, and it is structured as a four-year advance that the city recoups from future property-tax growth generated inside a new Community Development District overlaying the college property.

Mechanically, the city fronts cash and gets paid back out of a tax base that the project itself creates. If the district develops as projected, the city's net contribution over time trends toward zero. If it does not, the city has fronted $80M against a recovery that underperforms. The risk did not disappear — it changed shape, from a certain outlay into a timing-and-performance exposure.

The Drew Park CRA carve-out and the $100M private placement

A Community Redevelopment Area is a designated district where growth in property-tax revenue above a frozen base year — the tax increment — is captured and reinvested inside the district rather than flowing to general funds. The MOU had the Drew Park CRA contributing $100M. In the definitive documents that contribution is eliminated, and the stadium land is carved out of the Drew Park CRA entirely, so property-tax growth from the ballpark district no longer counts as CRA increment.

In its place, the Rays will privately place $100M of taxable bonds, notes or other indebtedness to finance public components of the ballpark, with debt service paid from tax increment directed to the CDD. The money for the public components still ultimately comes from the increment the district generates. What changed is who carries the paper and who bears the placement risk.

The distinction that matters. A cash appropriation spends money that exists today on something the public already owns a claim to. Value capture spends money that does not exist yet, contingent on the project performing. Both are legitimate public-finance tools. They are not the same instrument, they do not carry the same risk, and a reduction achieved by switching from the first to the second is a real change in the public's exposure profile — not simply a smaller number.
MOU VERSUS DEFINITIVE

What moved between May and August 2026

The May 2026 memorandum of understanding was non-binding. The August 21, 2026 documents are the negotiated result of roughly six months of work by the Rays, the city, the county and project partners. Both are dated below because the difference between them is the story.

TermMay 2026 MOUAug 21, 2026 definitive documentsChange
Total ballpark budget$2.3B (April 2026 estimate)$2.361BUp
Rays direct commitment$1.27B$1.37BUp $100M
Total public contribution$976M$876MDown $100M
Hillsborough County$796M$796MUnchanged
City of Tampa$180M$80MDown $100M
City funding sourceCity CIT revenueFour-year advance, recouped from CDD incrementRestructured
Drew Park CRA contribution$100MEliminatedRemoved
Replacement for CRA money$100M Rays private taxable placementAdded
Cost overrunsRaysRaysUnchanged

MOU column reflects terms as passed in May 2026. Definitive column reflects the documents released August 21, 2026, as reported August 21–22, 2026. The April 2026 initial budget of $2.3B carried a public ask of $1.065B and a Rays commitment of $1.235B, so the public number has moved down twice.

Who carries what if things go wrong

The dollar split answers who pays. These terms answer who pays more than expected, and what happens if a party walks.

Cost overruns — entirely the Rays

The team is responsible for all cost overruns and design fees, with no stated public cap exposure. On a $2.361B project with a March 2029 target and demolition not starting until December 2026, this is the single most valuable protection the public side holds. It was also true in the MOU and in the terminated St. Petersburg deal, so it is a continuation rather than a concession.

Non-relocation — 35 years

A 35-year initial term with an accompanying non-relocation agreement requiring the team to remain in Hillsborough County. For reference, Tropicana Field's use agreement ran from 1998 and the Rays spent the last decade of it openly seeking an exit; a 35-year term signed in 2026 runs past 2060.

Payment and performance guarantee

The Rays agreed to guarantee their payment and performance obligations under the definitive documents, giving the city and county recourse if the team fails to meet its commitments. The strength of a guarantee depends on who the guarantor is and what stands behind it — a detail that lives in the documents rather than in the press coverage.

Rent — $4M annually to the county

Against a $796M county contribution, $4M a year over 35 years is $140M nominal, undiscounted. Rent in stadium deals is rarely intended to amortize the public investment; it is a use payment. Read it as such rather than as a return calculation.

TIMELINE

Twenty years of attempts, and the next six months

WhenWhat happened
2007Al Lang Stadium waterfront ballpark proposed in St. Petersburg. Abandoned.
2018Ybor City ballpark proposed in Tampa. Abandoned for lack of a funding plan.
Sept 2023Rays and St. Petersburg announce a $1.3B ballpark inside the $6.5B Historic Gas Plant District redevelopment of the 86-acre Tropicana Field site.
July 2024St. Petersburg City Council approves $287.5M; Pinellas County approves $312.5M in bonds. Public share roughly 46%.
Oct 2024Hurricane Milton tears the roof off Tropicana Field. Costs escalate and the delivery date slips from 2028 to 2029.
March 2025Principal owner Stu Sternberg withdraws from the St. Petersburg deal.
July 2025St. Petersburg City Council formally terminates the redevelopment agreement.
Sept 30, 2025Sale of the franchise to a group led by Patrick Zalupski closes at a reported ~$1.7B, unanimously approved by MLB owners.
May 2026Non-binding memorandum of understanding with Hillsborough County and the City of Tampa. Public contribution capped at $976M.
June 2026State budget signed including $50M for infrastructure improvements at the Hillsborough College Dale Mabry campus.
Aug 17, 2026AECOM Hunt / Turner selected to build the ballpark.
Aug 21, 2026134-page Stadium Development and Funding Agreement and accompanying definitive documents delivered to the city ahead of a 5 p.m. deadline.
Aug 27, 2026Tampa City Council vote scheduled.
Aug 28, 2026Hillsborough County Commission vote scheduled.
Sept 2026Targeted groundbreaking.
Dec 2026Targeted start of site demolition.
March 2027Targeted start of foundation and bowl construction.
March 2029Targeted opening.

Dates after August 22, 2026 are targets stated in the definitive documents or scheduled meeting dates, not completed events.

Public share against recent deals

Public share is the crudest possible summary of a stadium deal — it ignores who bears overruns, how long the non-relocation term runs, what the public gets back through rent or revenue sharing, and whether the money is appropriated or captured. It is still the number everyone reaches for first, so here it is, with the caveats attached.

DealYearProject costPublicPublic shareNote
Rays — Tampa (proposed)2026$2.361B$876M37.1%Definitive documents released Aug 21, 2026; not yet approved.
Rays — St. Petersburg (terminated)2024$1.3B$600M46.2%$312.5M Pinellas County + $287.5M City of St. Petersburg. Rays $700M + overruns. Team withdrew March 2025.
Jaguars — EverBank renovation2024~$1.4B~$775M~55%City of Jacksonville + State of Florida. Renovation, not new-build.
Rangers — Globe Life Field2020$1.2B$500M~42%City of Arlington; opened 2020.
Athletics — Las Vegas2023~$2.0B$380M~19%Nevada public funding authorized June 2023.

Project costs and public contributions as reported at the time of each agreement; not inflation-adjusted and not adjusted for scope. The Rays Tampa row reflects proposed terms as of August 21, 2026 and is not an enacted deal. Percentages are computed from the figures shown.

What the table does not capture. The Athletics' 19% looks like the taxpayer-friendliest deal in the set until you note that the project cost excludes land contributed by a casino partner and that the team funded part of its share through personal seat licenses. Comparability across stadium deals is genuinely poor. Treat this table as orientation, not as a ranking.
WHAT TO WATCH

The open items

Sources, dating, and what this page does not do

Every figure on this page carries the date it was measured, not merely the date this page was published. That is deliberate. Stadium-finance numbers move, and a figure that was accurate in the May 2026 MOU is not accurate in August 2026 — the public contribution alone moved from $1.065B in April to $976M in May to $876M in August. A reader who inherits a number without its measurement date inherits a liability.

Figures are drawn from reporting on the definitive documents released August 21, 2026, principally Rick Mayer's coverage for WUSF and the St Pete Catalyst, together with MLB.com, Florida Politics and Tampa-market broadcast reporting. The underlying 134-page Stadium Development and Funding Agreement is the controlling source and supersedes any summary here, including this one. Where public reporting does not reconcile — as with the $115M — the page says so rather than smoothing it.

This page is a mechanics walk. It explains how the structure works and what each instrument is. It does not argue that the deal is good or bad, that the public share is too high or too low, or that either vote should go one way. Those are political judgments for the residents of Hillsborough County and the City of Tampa and their elected representatives, and the Institute is a publisher rather than an advocate.

RELATED READING

Cross-references

Independent editorial analysis · Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Tampa Bay Rays, Major League Baseball, Patrick Zalupski, Dream Finders Homes, Hillsborough County, the City of Tampa, Hillsborough College, the City of St. Petersburg, Pinellas County, the State of Florida, or any advisor, contractor or official named.
This case study is independent editorial and educational analysis of publicly available information. The Baratelli Institute is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or connected to any organization, family, or entity named. All marks are the property of their respective owners. Analysis draws exclusively on public sources (government records and meeting agendas, team press releases, and trade and local press coverage including WUSF, St Pete Catalyst, MLB.com and Florida Politics); no non-public information has been used. The transaction described here was proposed and not approved as of August 22, 2026; terms are subject to change, to the outcome of scheduled legislative votes, and to bond validation. Where reporting is inconsistent across outlets, or where identified funding sources do not reconcile to the stated budget, the page identifies the discrepancy rather than resolving it by assumption. Presented for educational and editorial purposes. Nothing here constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any interest in any franchise, stadium bond, or security, nor advocacy for or against any pending public vote. The Institute is not a registered investment adviser; this is a Lowe v. SEC publisher-exception publication. Consult licensed advisors before any investment or ownership decision.

The methodology lives in the Guides

Every analytical move in this case cross-references a Guide chapter. If you want to learn the methodology in full, the Guides are where it’s taught.