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Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) — Cost of Equity

The CAPM cost of equity for Hertz Global Holdings at 2026-06-30. A practitioner reference for equity-only discount rates — dividend discount models, residual-income frameworks, and the Ke input in enterprise-value DCFs. Sourced inputs, transparent walkthrough, refreshed quarterly.

Snapshot: 2026-06-30 · Next refresh: 2026-09-30 · Companion WACC page: HTZ WACC →

Cost of Equity (CAPM)
12.90%
Rf + β × ERP
Beta
1.55
5-yr weekly, Blume-adjusted
Risk-free rate
4.25%
10-yr US Treasury
Equity Risk Premium
5.55%
Damodaran, June 2026

The CAPM Calculation, Walked

ComponentValueSource / Assumption
Risk-free rate (Rf)4.25%10-year US Treasury yield at snapshot date
Beta (β)1.555-year weekly regression vs S&P 500, Blume-adjusted
Equity risk premium (ERP)5.55%Damodaran implied ERP, June 2026 update
Cost of Equity (Ke)12.90%CAPM: Rf + β × ERP = 4.25% + 1.55 × 5.55%

Fama-French Three-Factor Alternative

CAPM is the practitioner default because it's defensible in a boardroom in one line. But the Fama-French three-factor model adds a size premium (SMB) and a value premium (HML) that meaningfully improve fit on empirical returns. For Hertz Global Holdings, the illustrative FF3 cost of equity is:

FactorLoadingPremiumContribution
Market (Rm − Rf)1.555.55%8.60%
Size (SMB) — illustrative loading 0.200.201.10%0.22%
Value (HML) — illustrative loading 0.150.151.85%0.28%
Risk-free base4.25%
Fama-French Ke13.35%

Practitioner note: the SMB and HML loadings above are illustrative reference values. For a defensible FF3 estimate, run a five-year monthly regression against the Fama-French factor series and use the empirical loadings. FF3 typically shifts Ke by 30-90 bps versus CAPM for large-cap issuers — enough to matter, not enough to change the recommendation on most valuations.

Levered vs. Unlevered Beta Reconciliation

The published beta of 1.55 reflects Hertz Global Holdings's current capital structure. Practitioners doing peer-based valuation (or a re-lever for a target capital structure) should decompose:

StepValueFormula
Observed (levered) beta1.555-yr weekly regression, Blume-adjusted
Assumed D/E0.15Market values from the companion WACC page
Assumed tax rate21%Blended federal + state
Unlevered beta (asset beta)1.39βL / [1 + (1 − t) × D/E]

Use the unlevered beta when the peer's capital structure differs materially from the target's. Re-lever at the target D/E before feeding back into CAPM.

Sensitivity: β × ERP Grid

Cost of equity for Hertz Global Holdings at various beta and ERP combinations (risk-free rate held at 4.25%):

Beta \ ERP4.75%5.25%5.55%5.85%6.35%
1.3510.66%11.34%11.74%12.15%12.82%
1.4511.14%11.86%12.30%12.73%13.46%
1.5511.61%12.39%12.85%13.32%14.09%
1.6512.09%12.91%13.41%13.90%14.73%
1.7512.56%13.44%13.96%14.49%15.36%

What This Means for Hertz Global Holdings Valuation

A cost of equity of 12.90% is the equity-only discount rate to plug into a dividend discount model, a residual-income model, or any framework that discounts flows accruing solely to equityholders. If you're building an enterprise-value DCF, use the companion WACC of the companion WACC page value instead — Ke feeds into WACC through the equity weight, but is not itself the enterprise discount rate.

For Hertz Global Holdings specifically, the beta of 1.55 anchors the calculation. Where practitioners will reasonably disagree: whether to use a raw historical beta, a Blume-adjusted beta (the Baratelli reference default), or an industry-median beta. Blume-adjusted pulls the estimate toward 1.0 on the theory that betas revert over long horizons; industry-median smooths noise for issuers with thin trading history. All three are defensible; the recommendation is to disclose which convention you're using and hold it constant across peer comparisons.

Practitioner Caveats

On historical beta: five-year weekly betas are a lagging indicator. Companies undergoing a business-model shift (energy transitions, hardware-to-software pivots, deleveraging) will look mispriced under a historical beta. The correct response is a forward-looking overlay, not blind reliance on the regression.

On Damodaran ERP: the 5.55% ERP is the June 2026 implied premium from Damodaran's monthly update — the defensible reference across the practitioner community. Historical arithmetic-average ERPs (7%+) overstate today's premium; historical geometric averages (5.0-5.5%) triangulate close to the implied number.

The full cost-of-equity walkthrough, the FF3 template, and 25 other Wall Street models are in the Baratelli Financial Modeling Toolkit — $99.

Cite This Page

Baratelli Institute. “Hertz Global Holdings (HTZ) — Cost of Equity.” Baratelli Cost of Equity Reference. Snapshot date 2026-06-30.
https://baratelliinstitute.com/cost-of-equity/htz.html

Related Cost of Equity References

All 73 companies in the Baratelli Cost of Equity reference: The full Cost of Equity Reference Library (73 companies) — sorted, filterable.

Companion WACC calculation: The HTZ WACC reference — adds after-tax cost of debt and capital-structure weighting.

DCF methodology hub: The Baratelli DCF Reference — where Ke and WACC actually get used.

Interactive calculator: The WACC + Cost of Equity calculator — substitute your own inputs.